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Horizon Scanning and Scenario Building: Scenarios for Skills 2020 – Executive Summary

evidence report 17 executive summaryThis report draws upon horizon scanning techniques, scenarios and interviews to identify the key drivers of change in the UK and globally which may impact on the employment and skills landscape in England by 2020. The study is part of a wider exercise designed to contribute towards the UK Commission’s overall response to strategic skills, the National Strategic Skills Audit for England 2010.

Horizon Scanning and Scenario Building: Scenarios for Skills 2020 – Executive Summary (PDF, 172 Kb) 
Published March 2010

This report draws upon horizon scanning techniques, scenarios and interviews to identify the key drivers of change in the UK and globally which may impact on the employment and skills landscape in England by 2020. The study is part of a wider exercise designed to contribute towards the UK Commission’s overall response to strategic skills, the National Strategic Skills Audit for England 2010. The report is also intended to stimulate wider debate among those who have an interest in ensuring a successful future for the UK’s labour market.

The project addressed the question: “What will be the drivers and impact of change on the employment and skills landscape in England by 2020; what are the challenges and opportunities for government and employers?”

Drivers of change were derived from a variety of sources and were analysed to identify those which are likely to have the most significant impact on the future skills landscape. The report describes each of these drivers before using three established scenarios to consider the relationship between drivers of change and the socio/political/economic context.